Brown Sugar

I guess we all knew that, post-‘pandemic,’ barren Australia would crank up the immigration Ponzi jalopy. We should be equally unsurprised that it’s a Liberal demanding the prestige of citizenship be lowered even further. For a useful example of how little the political class values the quondam privilege of becoming one of us, look no further than Daniel Andrews’ tyranny sliver. Its capital is now a game reserve for a strangely Mohammedan, strangely unshy and strangely gay ‘underworld’ of Versace-wearing gangsters-cum-Village People. When these boys aren’t Instagramming, they’re shooting each other – to the consternation of policemen required to face reporters and pretend to care. They don’t quite control drugs and extortion – Pfizer and Victorian Labor have those rackets cornered – but they cause a lot of bother and paper work. There’s a reason they’re contemptuous of gangland conventions standardised by crooks of old: they viscerally hate the Anglophones in whose midst they or their parents were thoughtlessly plonked. For the first time, though, I’m starting to wonder whether some of the scorn is warranted.

By asking this week that Anthony Albanese “stamp the passports” of tens of thousands of allegedly skilled immigrants, NSW Treasurer Matt Kean was at least retailing some politics over against the Ruddian wankery of next week’s jobs and skills summit. Having secretly appointed himself adjunct Opposition Leader, the Morrison-obsessed Prime Minister continues to avoid the irksome duties of governance; the summit was intended to belittle Peter Dutton if he attended and caricature him as recalcitrant if he didn’t. Kean also insists, however, that the nation’s top immigration priority is the “care workforce” and that the Federal government should create a new visa class for “lower-skilled occupations.” The taxonomy here is hard to follow. One of the three most in-demand “professions,” according to Commonwealth projections, is preschool ‘teachers.’ In the top ten: child and aged care workers. Western immigration is now an inversion of the Emma Lazarus sonnet on the Statue of Liberty: we’re not taking your tired, your poor, your huddled and your wretched. We’re lumbering the newcomers with ours because we can’t be bothered. It’s a seller’s market too: as The Australian editorialises, we need “300,000 a year until 2030.” Why this desperate scramble? We’re competing for post-covid coolies with every other dying nation of the West.

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46 Responses to Brown Sugar

  1. Bluey says:

    The one thing Albo promised that was actually a good idea, straight into the bin. A nation can survive many things, but it can’t survive being replaced.

  2. Petros says:

    All part of the plan. Bring in the immigrants who will mostly vote Labor. Same tactics as the Dems use in the US.

  3. Passing By says:

    CL: there may be many Italians, Hungarians and Greeks in Melbourne. Tgst is no excuse for your ranting. Many Don’t even like hip hop.

  4. NoFixedAddress says:

    C.L.

    An excellent post, thank you for that.

    One correction that should be made is that “the political class” are a sub-set of “The Parasite Class of so called elites”.

  5. Boambee John says:

    Passing Wind has (yet) another brain gart.

  6. a reader says:

    I wonder if Elbow’s mate Jobson Skeehls is related to Talkbull’s mate Jobson Grothe

  7. Not Trampis says:

    Cl showing he does not understand economics , basic economics at that.
    We have more job vacancies than unemployed.
    We therefore need greater immigration. the major question is how much more immigration.

  8. Entropy says:

    Or, we could let the economy go through readjustment to a better, less immigration dependent beast.

  9. C.L. says:

    Trampo showing he doesn’t understand English (which is not exactly a surprise to anyone who has read his contributions over the years).

    I haven’t commented on the “need” for immigration.

    I’ve commented on the fact that Mr Kean and federal government officials cite ‘childcare’ and aged ‘care’ servants as the country’s top immigration priority. That points to a moral deficit, not an immigration deficit.

    We have more job vacancies than unemployed.

    – Job vacancies (ABS): 480,100.

    – Officially unemployed (ABS): 494,000.

    Bjorn Jarvis, head of labour statistics at the ABS: “This equates to around one unemployed person per vacant job (1.0)…”

    There are also 935,300 people on the dole – creating a statistical paradox explained here by Whiteford and Bradbury.

    It seems I understand basic economics better than you do.

  10. Tel says:

    Crime in Sydney vs Melbourne.

    https://www.numbeo.com/crime/in/Sydney
    https://www.numbeo.com/crime/in/Melbourne

    Note that Melbourne is worse in every aspect measured here … this is a survey site, so it’s perceived crime … the official crime statistics may vary somewhat. Of course, if there’s victims who don’t feel comfortable reporting to the cops, for whatever reason, the official statistics might undercount somewhat.

    The Commonwealth are dreadful at managing the economy, and picking and choosing supply in different vocations is pretty darn close to a central managed labour market. Ideally they should select immigrants based on quality of character … although far, far easier glancing at a certificate from some overseas dodgy training company that says “This guy knows how to push a mop around a hospital, and fill in the sanitation checklist.”

    It’s interesting that we are supposed to simultaneously believe that immigration does not push down wages … but also believe that if wages go up in any particular vocation this means a desperate shortage requiring skills and jobs targets to be managed by government. Why not just let the market find it’s own level? If wages go up in some sector that’s a sign that either it’s unpleasant work and people don’t want to do it, or there’s been recent growth in that sector which will settle down as people retrain and move across at their own pace.

  11. NoFixedAddress says:

    Not Trampis says:
    24 August, 2022 at 8:53 am

    Cl showing he does not understand economics , basic economics at that.
    We have more job vacancies than unemployed.
    We therefore need greater immigration. the major question is how much more immigration.

    Tell me NT… what occupations would those job vacancies be in?

  12. Boambee John says:

    Non Mentis

    We have more job vacancies than unemployed.
    We therefore need greater immigration. the major question is how much more immigration.

    Nitwit, do you support that other nitwit, Matt “Green” Kean in seeking a special visa for low-skilled migrants?

  13. If we had a genuine labour shortage productivity and real wages would be rising.

  14. Not Trampis says:

    Gerry shows little knowledge of the power relationship in the labour market.
    given we are at full employment yes wages should be rising strongly but productivity could be rising but more likely to be falling.

    Err nitwit we have to call on immigrants to do low or unskilled work because the locals do not want to do it. however we have known that for yonks. Pacific islander or backpackers to help out farmers anyone??

    Any occupations I cannot fil locally bozo. clearly you have never had to look for people to fill jobs.

  15. Boambee John says:

    Non Mentis

    Err nitwit we have to call on immigrants to do low or unskilled work because the locals do not want to do it.

    Errr fvckwit, perhaps the “incentive” of never-ending dole payments, followed by transfer to the Disability (“rorters”) pension might have something to do with that reluctance?

    Maybe an economic “genius” like you could suggest a different approach, to remove the “brown sugar” from the table? Or would that involve effort on your part, and maybe make you unpopular among your colleagues?

  16. Not Trampis says:

    except there is no research to back that claim up.

    you might notice the people who go on the disability pension are ahem elderly Australians.
    both the dole and the disability pension are worth far less then an unskilled job.

  17. Lee says:

    It seems I understand basic economics better than you do.

    C.L., you understand many things a lot better than he does!

  18. Boambee John says:

    Non Mentis

    Ahhh, “research”, is there nothing it can’t do? Other than find out why people prefer the dole to higher paid work. Perhaps more “research” might help?

    How about a Pigouvian tax to cover the negative externalities of being supported long term by the taxpayer? Start at 10% after three months, increase by the same amount after every further three months?

    PS, you might also do some more “research” on the disability demographic. Lived experience in places like Fairfield suggests that not all are elderly Australians.

  19. Jannie says:

    Mass Immigration will not go well for the LGBT, Feminists, Woke and Voice people, just give it 20 years or so.

  20. Horatio, if wages are based on “power relations”, meaning they are indeterminate, then the so-called current labour shortage would see employers bidding up wages just as they did in fourteenth century England after the plague had drastically reduced the population.

    To put it very simply indeed, the value of the product determines the wage. Australia during the Great Depression is an example of this basic truism. As the ratio of the manufacturing wage to the value of output continued to fall the demand for labour continued to rise so that by 1938 manufacturing was employing 25 per cent more people then in 1928. Yet the real value of the wage did not fall.
    https://gerardjackson.com/

    https://gerardjackson.com/passing-thoughts-on-wages-and-the-fallacy-behind-union-bargaining/

    https://gerardjackson.com/the-minimum-wage-economics-and-dishonest-studies/

  21. Not Trampis says:

    Gerry,

    We aint in the 1930s.
    the RBA is stunned tat wages are stagnant given the business cycle. The only explanation for why wages are soo weak given where unemployment is that labour is weak. This has to do to the lack of people in trade Unions.
    The only way you get a wage rise these days is to get another job.

    The best unemployment got to after the great depression was 8% which is recession territory as well. Manufacturing has a huge devaluation to take advantage of. Also important back then was inflationary expectations would have been high giveen that devaluation.

    I think you will find most people who go from the dole ,although it isn’t called that now, to a disability pension are elderly australians. sorry you can’t. that would be reading research.

  22. False Equivalence says:

    BJ: On the contrary, quite a lot of immigrants are highly skilled. You might not notice, but we have a skills test for migration. Migrants are in fact substantial contributors to tax revenue, not the other way around.

  23. Boambee John says:

    Non Mentis

    I think you will find most people who go from the dole ,although it isn’t called that now, to a disability pension are elderly australians. sorry you can’t. that would be reading research.

    You are changing the terms of your earlier statement. It said:

    people who go on the disability pension are ahem elderly Australians.

    No mention there of transition from the dole to disability pension. Perhaps you might think before typing half baked comments, that later need further explanation? Nah, that would involve thought, above your intellectual level.

    And what is the demographic on the disability pension among younger recipients?

  24. Boambee John says:

    Falsies

    BJ: On the contrary, quite a lot of immigrants are highly skilled. You might not notice, but we have a skills test for migration.

    Define “quite a lot” as a proportion of the immigrant population. And while you are doing that, comment on the suggestion by that idiot Matt “Green” Kean for a lower skilled visa category.

  25. Government creates barriers to self-employment: red tape.
    Government creates barriers to regular employment: payroll tax, vaccine mandates, lockdowns.
    Government sucks labour out of provate enterprise and into the public-sector vortex.
    Government incentivises rorting as a lifestyle.
    Government incentivises choosing not to work.

    Government wants to solve the problem by unfettered immigration.

  26. Lee says:

    So governments and businesses/employers which sack many thousands of perfectly healthy employees who refuse to be vaccinated (“my body, my choice”) are quite okay with importing thousands of workers to fill job vacancies.
    Something is not right about this.
    Also, why are unions silent on this?

  27. Boambee John says:

    Lee

    Also, why are unions silent on this?

    Unions have become part of the establishment against which they formerly protested. The rot set in when union “researchers” and secretaries were recruited from university graduates, with no direct connection to the work of the union members (unless perchance, they had a parent who once worked in the specific industry).

    Then being a union secretary became the path to a seat in Parliament, so they learned not to rock the boat along the way.

  28. twostix says:

    Err nitwit we have to call on immigrants to do low or unskilled work because the locals do not want to do it.

    The old slavery propaganda never dies does it?

    BJ: On the contrary, quite a lot of immigrants are highly skilled. You might not notice, but we have a skills test for migration.

    Many of the “skilled migrants” I’m dealing with are complete and utter retards and frauds and are destroying entire industries with their mass entry.

  29. Lee says:

    Unions have become part of the establishment against which they formerly protested.

    Something which you could say of the left generally.
    Much of what the left is now in favour of, or trust, they once opposed.
    Censorship or banning of alternate points of view; U.S. alphabet agencies, etc., etc.

  30. C.L. says:

    Ideally they should select immigrants based on quality of character … although far, far easier glancing at a certificate from some overseas dodgy training company that says “This guy knows how to push a mop around a hospital, and fill in the sanitation checklist.”

    An added huge problem right now is that all of the Western countries with ZPGs are in the market for cotton pickers. Many of the best of these will be trying for Europe or North America. The truth is, the Federal government has no meaningful quality control over these people. This is just straight-up ‘buying by the bushel.’

    Why not just let the market find it’s own level? If wages go up in some sector that’s a sign that either it’s unpleasant work and people don’t want to do it, or there’s been recent growth in that sector which will settle down as people retrain and move across at their own pace.

    Employers have to take some blame here. They’re good at whining about shortages in this country but not all of them are willing to pay for what they need. I know their margins are sacred (and often tight) but there is a limit to the economies you can impose.

  31. C.L. says:

    Judith Sloan on the wage/demand nexus:

    Unless productivity rises, get used to low wages growth.

    Low wage growth in the context of low unemployment is a puzzle that has baffled economists for some time. Before the pandemic and after restrictions eased, the rates of unemployment have been relatively low, yet there has been a sluggish response in terms of higher wage growth.

    This is not just an Australian phenomenon, meaning we need to look beyond local institutional factors for answers. Employment and Workplace Relations Minister Tony Burke should take note.

    But let’s take a look at the Australian wage figures. The preferred measure of change to wages is the wage price index, which factors out changes in the composition of jobs. It’s like the consumer price index.

    If we ignore the disruptions caused by the global financial crisis (2008-09), the WPI was growing this century at annual rates of about 3 to 4 per cent until late 2012. At that point WPI growth began to tank, with annual growth rates close to 2 per cent recorded. There were some periods in which the annual WPI growth was well below 2 per cent. (We need to discount the pandemic period to get a true impression.)

    But as wage growth was decelerating, the rate of unemployment was falling. In October 2014 the seasonally adjusted rate of unemployment was 6.4 per cent. By February 2019 it was 5 per cent. The latest figure on unemployment is 3.4 per cent, with the overall rate of labour under-utilisation (which takes into account underemployment) at a historic low.

    The most recent figure on the WPI shows some tick-up, with annual growth at 2.6 per cent. Private sector wages grew slightly higher at 2.7 per cent, with public sector wages growing at 2.4 per cent. However, with price inflation far exceeding these growth rates – the latest CPI figure was 6.1 per cent – the net effect has been real wages going backwards.

    One explanation for the apparent weakening of the link between wage growth and unemployment (or the state of the labour market more generally) relates to how we measure wage growth. There is an argument that using an index fails to take into account some ways the labour market adjusts – through rapid promotions, payment of bonuses, altered employment conditions (longer holidays, for instance) and the like.

    In fact, Treasury makes this point in the budget papers by looking at wage growth sourced from the national accounts. Using compensation of employees – the old wages, salaries and supplements series – the most recent figure showed annual growth of 5.5 per cent in the year ending in the March quarter this year.

    Another factor that Treasury gives to explain our sluggish wage growth has been the declining rate of job turnover among workers. This in turn led to rising job tenure, with the proportions of workers who had been with their current employer for more than five and 10 years rising. Why this is important is that the easiest way to secure a pay rise is to change jobs and if workers are reluctant to do so this will dampen wage growth. Given the tightness of many occupational labour markets at the moment, this may be about to change.

    Trade unions and the Labor government are inclined to place emphasis on institutional features of the labour market to explain why wage growth has been so low. The falling incidence of enterprise agreements is seen as central. Burke refers to these as “leaks” in the system.

    It is certainly the case that the proportion of workers covered by enterprise agreements has declined significantly during the past decade, with only 10 per cent of private sector employees now working under such agreements. But just because collective agreements have fallen into disuse doesn’t prevent employers from entering into individual arrangements with workers and increasing their pay in this way.

    There is also the issue of whether public sector pay caps have affected overall wage outcomes. Until recently, however, increases to public sector pay have outstripped those in the private sector. Moreover, while public sector pay rises have been relatively low in nominal terms, until recently the rate of inflation was also low. The same can be said for increases to award wages which are set by the annual wage review conducted by the Fair Work Commission.

    Low wage growth in the context of low and falling unemployment has been a feature of several developed economies, including the US and Britain. Both these countries have relatively deregulated wage fixing arrangements yet the same phenomenon we see here has occurred there. More recent figures in those countries point to higher wage growth, but in both inflation is also significantly higher.

    There is also the issue of the relatively large flows of migrant workers to these countries that alter the balance between supply and demand in particular occupational labour markets. For example, there is evidence in Australia that the relatively large inflow of qualified engineers from overseas has constrained the rate of growth of engineering salaries.

    The key factor we need to come back to is productivity, which has grown more slowly here and in other countries. Compared with the heady days of the 1990s, the average annual rate of labour productivity growth is just above 1 per cent per year. On this basis alone we should expect real wages to grow slowly.

    Of course, when there is a large number of job openings relative to applicants it’s only a matter of time before employers increase wage offers. But it may be there is a high degree of uncertainty about the future that is making employers reluctant to lock in large pay rises.

    Instead they are offering temporary bonuses to retain and attract staff and to restrict substantial pay rises to the most indispensable workers. Being hit by other cost increases, particularly higher energy bills, is also constraining some businesses from offering higher wages.

    While it’s commendable that the government wants to see higher real wages, focusing on arcane features of Australia’s industrial relations system is unlikely to help. And lifting public sector pay caps is dangerous if more government borrowing simply leads to higher inflation and interest rates. Without higher productivity we may just have to get used to sluggish wage growth.

    A few things Sloan doesn’t mention: the disappearance of old-style union wage (and even rights) campaigning in Labor states (and generally) – and perhaps the advent of a more sheepish generation that is more easily gyped.

    Overlay that with a culturally ceaseless dampening of material expectations vis-a-vis the ‘climate’ and covid and it’s possible that what we’re charting here is a decline in quantifiable ambition on a psychological level. Yes, wages may only increase with productivity growth (per Sloan) but productivity won’t grow as much as it could without incentives either. Is this market failure, then, or an economy so constantly bombarded by state decrees, interventions and easy money that employers and employees no longer operate within a market whose signals are mutually coherent?

    Usually only one party in a bust-up says “it’s not you, it’s me.” They’re both saying it.

    The other problem is that nowadays everything in politics is manic. Everything has to be be ‘solved’ in a hurry. By 2050, no no – by 2030! The market will deliver but it’s going to take time. Meanwhile, populations are their own worst enemies when they continue to vote for these manic (and fake) problem solvers trading in the vibe of the current thing.

  32. Entropy says:

    Many of the “skilled migrants” I’m dealing with are complete and utter retards and frauds and are destroying entire industries with their mass entry.

    Indeed, so called nurses for example, who do not know what is, or have ever done, an enema or an irrigation.

  33. Biggs says:

    Interesting that you use the term ‘mania’ CL to describe govt now. Someone I look up to once said that when Kevin Rudd was elected PM a sort of mania descended on the country. “Kevin Rudd was Australia’s St Vito’s Dance” he said.

  34. Lee says:

    Yes, wages may only increase with productivity growth (per Sloan) but productivity won’t grow as much as it could without incentives either.

    One of the reasons socialism and communism will never work, IMO.

  35. Biggs says:

    St Vitus – bloody autocorrect

  36. Passing By says:

    CL: you talk like an old Afrikaner.

  37. C.L. says:

    I don’t know what that means.

  38. Boambee John says:

    CL

    Neither does Passing Wind, who shows some of the signs of being a particularly poorly-programmed trollbot.

  39. Not Trampis says:

    Sloan was always saying a wages break out was just around the corner. It never was.

    Productivity has increased although slower in recent times. This has not translated into higher wages. Wages as a % of GDP is at a pretty poor level

  40. C.L. says:

    It’s odd how silent and indifferent unions are these days. They ratted on workers during covid and they routinely rat on them re the coming climate hoax redundancies.

    Screwing workers is now a unity ticket deal between corporates and the ACTU.

  41. Buccaneer says:

    Screwing workers is now a unity ticket deal between corporates and the ACTU.

    Bill Shorten was the thin edge of the wedge with the deals that he created that benefited unions and corporates but diced out workers. The success of contract trades has effectively diced out the unions in many sectors, the only dependents are the people that keep complaining they can’t get a decent deal, teachers, nurses etc. They just don’t want to admit the problem is that government shouldn’t deliver goods or services.

  42. Boambee John says:

    CL

    As I noted above, unions have become part of the establishment against which they formerly protested. The rot set in when union “researchers” and secretaries were recruited from university graduates, with no direct connection to the work of the union members (unless perchance, they had a parent who once worked in the specific industry).

    Then being a union secretary became the path to a seat in Parliament, so they learned not to rock the boat along the way.

    As for “screwing workers”, see Shorten and the CleanEvent and Chiquita Mushrooms EBAs, where he screwed his members for employer contributions to his election fund.

  43. Buccaneer says:

    I might also add that immigration is the ponzi scheme that keeps workers wages low, so corporate bosses can pay themselves 72 times the average workers wage, while Cannon-Brooksing the whole country by swanning around telling us how to live our lives instead of delivering outcomes for their customers, shareholders and employees.

  44. C.L. says:

    PB, if you’re referencing my use of “coolies” and “cotton pickers,” this is a send-up of an exploitative attitude in immigration and “care force” policy, not how I see people.

    But you knew that.

  45. C.L. says:

    As I noted above, unions have become part of the establishment against which they formerly protested. The rot set in when union “researchers” and secretaries were recruited from university graduates, with no direct connection to the work of the union members (unless perchance, they had a parent who once worked in the specific industry).

    Then being a union secretary became the path to a seat in Parliament, so they learned not to rock the boat along the way.

    The last ACTU President who wasn’t a university graduate and who didn’t springboard into parliament was electrician Cliff Dolan (1980-85).

  46. Boambee John says:

    CL

    Cliff Dolan, an actual shop floor worker. What a radical concept, the ACTU should try it sometime.//sarc

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